Howard Capital Management & HCM-BuyLine® Strategies for Arizona Retirees
Tailored Investment Solutions from Howard Capital Management and J. Martin Wealth
Located in Roswell, Georgia, Howard Capital Management (HCM) is an SEC-Registered Investment Advisor Firm. They aim to deliver professional money management solutions to individuals seeking growth while maintaining a prudent investment approach. The firm offers the use of the HCM-BuyLine®, developed by Vance Howard, CEO and Portfolio Manager at Howard Capital Management Inc., which has been their cornerstone since 1996. This stop-loss safeguard is crafted to provide timely guidance during market volatility. The HCM-BuyLine® is designed to seek reduced downside exposure by signaling shifts from equities to cash and cash equivalents, while identifying opportunities to increase equity exposure during market upswings. It does not guarantee results and does not prevent losses.
J. Martin Wealth, based in Arizona, provides fiduciary financial advice tailored to help you meet your financial goals. Led by Jeff Martin, our team focuses on personalized investment strategies that align with your risk tolerance, time horizon, and unique objectives. Whether planning for retirement, managing your investments, or seeking comprehensive financial guidance, we are here to provide solutions that put your best interests first. Serving clients in Gilbert, Chandler, Maricopa, and throughout Arizona, we are committed to delivering transparent, client-centered service.
At J. Martin Wealth Management, serving retirees across Gilbert, Chandler, Gold Canyon and Maricopa, we share these weekly insights to help you understand market movements and how they may impact your retirement plan.
The following commentary was authored by Vance Howard, CEO of Howard Capital Management, Inc., as of the date noted. It reflects his personal views and does not represent the views or recommendations of J. Martin Wealth Management or Tucker Asset Management LLC. References to specific index levels reflect HCM’s internal strategy and are not personalized investment advice for any reader of this page. Past performance of the HCM Buy-Line® is not indicative of future results.
Howard Capital Management - Global Weekly Summary
Risk-Off to Recovery: Markets End Higher Amid Rate Pause Hopes
September 4, 2026
- Posted By: Editorial team
Weekly Market Movers — Key Highlights
- Global equities recovered despite escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and oil price volatility.
- Rate pause expectations boosted investor confidence and triggered a broad market rally.
- Technology and AI leaders drove gains, led by strong results from Dell and Snowflake.
- Treasury yields retreated after policymakers signalled a more measured policy stance.
Global equity markets demonstrated resilience during the week, recovering from an early risk-off sell-off driven by heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, rising bond yields, and concerns over renewed inflationary pressures. Sentiment improved markedly later in the week as Treasury yields retreated from recent highs and investors took comfort from indications that policymakers may refrain from additional near-term monetary tightening, supporting a broad-based recovery across both developed and emerging markets. Technology and other growth-oriented sectors led gains, while a weaker U.S. dollar and improving risk appetite helped fuel a synchronized advance across international equities, allowing markets to finish the week modestly higher despite ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties.
In global geopolitics, escalating military exchanges between the United States and Iran heightened concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz. The resulting surge in crude oil prices reignited inflation fears and pushed global bond yields sharply higher, weighing on risk sentiment. U.S.-China tensions remained elevated after China imposed export controls on 10 U.S. firms in response to the Pentagon’s decision to add several major Chinese companies, including technology groups, to its military-linked entity list. Investors also monitored the approaching 30 September U.S. government funding deadline. In Europe, Italy announced a further 15-day extension of border controls with Spain amid ongoing tensions related to the Ceuta migration crisis, underscoring broader political and immigration challenges across the region.
Global Updates
- The MSCI All Country World advanced over the week, recovering from an early bout of risk aversion as investors looked beyond geopolitical tensions and higher bond yields. Strong technology earnings, optimism around AI-related spending, and resilient corporate fundamentals supported risk appetite, helping global equities regain momentum.
- The S&P Global Japan Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 54.9 in August from 54.5 in July, it's highest since April.
- Ares Management’s real estate unit raised $4 billion for its fifth Japan logistics fund, marking its largest institutional fundraising.
- Sony and Warner Music sued Anthropic, alleging copyrighted songs were used without permission to train Claude AI.
- Britain’s third-largest airline Jet2 reported higher summer bookings year over year and increased fuel hedging as Middle East tensions pushed aviation fuel costs higher.
- Russian President Vladimir Putin said a Ukraine peace agreement remains possible, with U.S. mediators set to visit Moscow and Kyiv.
- Norwegian authorities seized a Russian cruise ship in the Arctic as Naftogaz seeks to enforce a $4.22 billion compensation award linked to Crimea.
- Turkish authorities continued searching for 10 missing crew members after a cargo ship sank off Istanbul following a vessel collision.
- Iran warned the U.S. it would respond forcefully to any Israeli offensive targeting Iranian and Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon.
- France announced more than €1 billion in aid for farmers after record heatwaves and droughts damaged crops, pastures, and water supplies.
- Chinese authorities arrested 52 Singaporeans in Guangxi during a crackdown on alleged pyramid scheme activities and related offences.
U.S. Equity
- U.S. equity markets ended the volatile week moderately higher, supported by a resilient back-to-back relief rally following an initial risk-off tone earlier in the week. Rising global bond yields and heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East weighed on sentiment at the start of the period, but markets rebounded as Treasury yields retreated from recent highs and risk appetite improved. Technology and other growth-oriented shares led the advance, while positive sentiment was further reinforced by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller’s comments supporting a steady policy stance, helping ease investor concerns over aggressive near-term interest rate hikes.
- U.S. Treasury yields surged to their highest levels since late 2023 as intensifying Middle East conflicts sparked fears of a renewed energy-driven spike in inflation. This spike forced fixed-income investors to dramatically reassess the path of monetary policy, pricing in a higher-for-longer interest rate trajectory and the growing prospect of additional Federal Reserve tightening. However, New York Fed President John Williams stated that the recent rise in bond yields reflected stronger economic prospects rather than market dysfunction, influencing interest-rate expectations
- Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated a willingness to support holding rates steady at the September FOMC meeting, triggering a decline in Treasury yields and a broad equity market rally.
- The U.S. labor market displayed signs of cooling with the ADP National Employment Report indicating private employers added a lower-than-expected 38,000 jobs in August. This reinforced the signals of a broader deceleration in hiring.
- The ISM Services Index rose to 55.4 in August, exceeding expectations and signalling continued strength in the U.S. services sector.
- Oil prices rose earlier in the week amid disruptions and security concerns surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. Energy security anxieties eased slightly after U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright reported that a wartime record of over 17 million barrels of oil transited the Strait of Hormuz. This significantly calmed market fears of severe global supply disruption.
- Dell Technologies stock rallied after reporting better-than-expected second quarter record revenues of $47.0 billion and an adjusted EPS of $7.04 and raising its fiscal 2027 full-year sales guidance to $192 billion on the basis of an AI server backlog of $95 billion, boosting sentiment toward AI-related infrastructure spending.
- Data-cloud company Snowflake’s share price jumped after the company delivered stronger-than-expected adjusted EPS of $0.62 on $1.55 billion in second-quarter revenue and issued robust forward full-year guidance of $6.07 billion.
- Broadcom stock dragged after the company issued a softer-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue guidance of $34.8 billion, which overshadowed the fiscal third-quarter print revenue rising 86% year-over-year to $29.59 billion and more than 200% growth in AI chips.
- Shares of Meta Platforms rose following the launch of its Muse Spark 1.3 artificial intelligence model, supporting broader enthusiasm for AI-related companies.
- Shares of Uber Technologies rose, after Uber announced a restructuring plan to eliminate approximately 3,300 corporate jobs, representing 10% of its global workforce.
Fixed Income
- The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index edged lower over the week.
- The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.756% and the yield on the 2-year note rose slightly to 4.333% over the week.
- The U.S. Dollar Index declined slightly to 99.00 over the week.
Chart data below reflects market conditions as of the date shown. It is provided for illustrative purposes in connection with the commentary above and does not represent current market conditions. It should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.
Wealth Watch: From the desk of Vance Howard
Knock, Knock. Who’s There? An S&P 500 All-Time High?
Posted By: Vance Howard - September 4, 2026
The S&P 500 broke out of resistance in early August and is now trying to push through another level of resistance. We believe a move above this level should lead to a new all-time high on the S&P 500.
CF Industries (CF) is making a push to break out at $139.00, along with AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) at $264.00. Gold is holding and looks like it is ready to move higher.
The small-cap Russell 2000 index led the stock market higher on Wednesday even as the 10-year Treasury yield topped 4.8% for the first time since January 2025. The rebound in equities comes in the wake of Tuesday’s sharp losses that downgraded the market outlook.
The Russell 2000 rallied 1.1% on Wednesday while the Dow Jones Industrial Average followed up by rising 295 points, or 0.6%. The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite each moved up 0.5%. All four indexes snapped a run of three consecutive losses.
Investors started the session with labor-market data in hand. ADP said private payrolls rose by 38,000 in August, missing estimates that called for a gain of 48,000. August marked the slowest pace of job creation since January. The ADP jobs data is seen as a precursor to Friday’s jobs report from the Labor Department.
Economists widely anticipated a moderate gain of 55,000 in U.S. payrolls after a surprising 23,000 decline in July. The unemployment rate is expected to tick higher to 4.2% from 4.1% in July, per Econoday.
The HCM-BuyLine® Explained
Curious how the HCM-BuyLine® works—and whether it fits your investment strategy?
The HCM-BuyLine® is a proprietary, rules-based investment tool designed to help manage portfolio risk by using market momentum indicators. Instead of relying on emotional decision-making, the BuyLine® uses quantitative data to signal when to reduce equity exposure and when to re-enter the market. This can help protect capital during major downturns and participate in uptrends when conditions improve.
For investors seeking an alternative to traditional buy-and-hold strategies, the HCM-BuyLine® offers a more dynamic, tactical investment approach. Its methodology may be especially valuable during periods of volatility or economic uncertainty.
Have you seen this kind of strategy from your current financial advisor? Are you looking for an investment philosophy that adapts to changing market conditions?
At J. Martin Wealth, we believe in aligning your financial plan with tools that are built to adapt. The HCM-BuyLine® is one example of how data-driven investing can support long-term goals while managing downside risk.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the HCM-BuyLine and how does it work?
A: The HCM-BuyLine® is a systematic, rules-based investment indicator developed by Vance Howard at Howard Capital Management. It uses quantitative market data to signal when to reduce equity exposure during downturns and when to increase exposure during uptrends. Rather than relying on emotion or guesswork, the BuyLine® follows predetermined criteria to help manage portfolio risk. Think of it as a disciplined framework for deciding when to be more defensive (holding cash) or more aggressive (holding stocks) based on current market conditions. It's designed to help protect capital during major market declines while participating in growth when conditions improve.
Q: Is tactical investing right for retirees?
A: Tactical investing strategies can be suitable for certain retirees, particularly those concerned about sequence-of-returns risk—the danger of large losses early in retirement. For retirees who are drawing income from their portfolio, avoiding major market downturns can be especially valuable since you don't have decades to recover. However, tactical strategies are not right for everyone. They involve more active management than traditional buy-and-hold approaches, and past performance does not guarantee future results. The best fit depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, income needs, and overall financial plan. We recommend discussing tactical strategies with a fiduciary advisor who can evaluate whether they align with your specific retirement goals.
Q: How is this different from what most financial advisors in Chandler or Gilbert offer?
A: J. Martin Wealth Management offers tactical strategies, such as those available through Howard Capital Management, as one option among several. Whether a tactical or more passive approach is appropriate depends on an individual client’s goals, risk tolerance, time horizon, and financial circumstances. We recommend discussing any strategy with a fiduciary adviser to evaluate suitability. The HCM-BuyLine® approach is tactical, meaning it attempts to reduce equity exposure during unfavorable market conditions and increase exposure when conditions improve. This doesn't make one approach "better" than the other—they serve different objectives. Buy-and-hold is simpler and works well over very long time horizons. Tactical strategies like HCM aim to reduce volatility and manage downside risk, which can be especially important for retirees who can't afford to wait years for a portfolio to recover. At J. Martin Wealth Management, we believe in matching the strategy to the client, not forcing every client into the same approach.
Q: Does the HCM-BuyLine® guarantee that I won't lose money in a downturn?
A: No. The HCM-BuyLine® is an investment tool designed to help manage risk, but it does not eliminate risk or guarantee results. All investing involves the potential for loss, including loss of principal. Tactical strategies attempt to reduce exposure during declines, but market conditions can change rapidly, and there may be delays in executing portfolio adjustments. Additionally, moving to cash during downturns means you might miss some recovery gains if the market rebounds quickly. There are trade-offs with any investment approach. The HCM-BuyLine® has been used since 1996, but past performance is not indicative of future results. It's a tool, not a guarantee, and should be evaluated as part of a comprehensive financial plan.
Q: Can I invest with Howard Capital Management directly, or do I need to work through J. Martin Wealth Management?
A: Howard Capital Management is an institutional investment manager based in Roswell, Georgia, and they primarily work with financial advisors rather than directly with individual investors. At J. Martin Wealth Management, we have access to Howard Capital Management strategies as one of several investment approaches we can incorporate into client portfolios. We serve as your fiduciary advisor, building a comprehensive financial plan tailored to your situation, and when appropriate, we may recommend tactical strategies like those offered by Howard Capital Management. Working with us means you get personalized advice, local service in Chandler and Gilbert, and a financial plan that goes beyond just investment management—including retirement income planning, Social Security optimization, tax strategy, and more.
Q: I'm retiring soon in Gilbert—should I be worried about this market volatility?
A: Market volatility in the years immediately before and after retirement is something to take seriously, but worry isn't productive—having a plan is. This period is when you're most vulnerable to sequence-of-returns risk, meaning poor market performance early in retirement can significantly impact your long-term financial security. If you're within 2-3 years of retirement and haven't stress-tested your plan against market downturns, now is the time to do so. Consider questions like: Is your asset allocation appropriate for your timeline? Do you have enough cash reserves to avoid selling stocks in a down market? Are you maximizing Social Security timing? Do you have a tax-efficient withdrawal strategy? These are the conversations we have every day with pre-retirees in Gilbert, Chandler, and across the East Valley. If you'd like a second opinion on your retirement readiness, we offer complimentary consultations to review your situation and discuss whether your current plan accounts for market risk.
Still Have Questions?
Market volatility and investment strategies can be complex. If you'd like to discuss how tactical investing or other risk management approaches might fit into your retirement plan, we're here to help.
Schedule a complimentary consultation with J. Martin Wealth Management:
Serving Chandler, Gilbert, Maricopa, and Gold Canyon.
Disclosure: This FAQ is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The HCM-BuyLine® is a proprietary indicator and does not guarantee investment results. All investing involves risk, including potential loss of principal. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor to discuss your specific situation.
The HCM-BuyLine® is a proprietary indicator and does not guarantee investment results or prevent losses. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.
Ready to Learn More?
Schedule a complimentary consultation to explore how the HCM-BuyLine® and other tactical strategies may fit into your overall investment plan.
Who is Vance Howard?
Vance Howard embarked on his professional career in the financial industry in 1992, establishing Chartered Financial Services, Inc. He subsequently founded Howard Capital Management, Inc. in 1999, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor. Mr. Howard brings expertise in the analysis, creation, and execution of diverse trading strategies.
Prior to his focus on financial services, Mr. Howard founded Delta Waste Services in 1988, a waste management company he later sold in 1992. Additionally, he co-published investment-focused newsletters, "The Savvy Investor" and the "SI Intermediate-term Trader", which garnered an international readership across over 25 countries between 1992-1999.
Demonstrating a commitment to community, Vance has served on the Huntsville, Texas city council for four terms, including two terms as mayor pro tem. His civic involvement extends to roles such as Huntsville's City Finance Chairman, Chairman of the Huntsville/Walker County 911 Emergency Service, and board positions on the Houston/Galveston Economic Development Council and the District 910 Legal Grievance Committee. He is a former President and active member of the Huntsville Rotary Club.
Outside of the professional sphere, Vance collaborates with family members in the operation of the Bar C Ranch in Madisonville, Texas, where they specialize in raising registered longhorn cattle. His leisure interests include travel with his wife and children, cycling, kayaking, scuba diving, and hiking.
“We aim to take emotion completely out of the equation. Trading with emotions, in our opinion, ruins long-term returns.”
— VANCE HOWARD, CEO + PORTFOLIO MANAGER
Disclosure:
Howard Capital Management, Inc issues this communication. It is for informational purposes and is not an official confirmation of terms. It is not guaranteed as to the accuracy, nor is it a complete statement of the financial products or markets referred to. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Howard Capital Management, Inc. may maintain long or short positions in the financial instruments referred to and transact as principal or agent. Unless explicitly stated otherwise, this is not a recommendation, offer, or solicitation to buy or sell, and any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. To the extent permitted by law, Howard Capital Management, Inc. does not accept any liability arising from using this communication. Howard Capital Management is an SEC-registered investment advisor that only does business where it is properly registered or is otherwise exempt from registration. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor indicates that the advisor has attained a particular skill or ability. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
This newsletter is a publication of Howard Capital Management, Inc. It should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed, nor should the newsletter be construed as personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion reflect the author's judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change. It should not be viewed as legal or tax advice. Always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your legal or tax situation. There can be no guarantee that the HCM-BuyLine® indicator will perform as anticipated. Stop-loss protection will not necessarily limit your losses to the desired amounts due to the limitations of the HCM-BuyLine®, market conditions, and delays in executing orders. It is not an actual stop-loss order that automatically sells securities in the portfolio at a certain price.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. The material above has been provided for informational purposes only and is not intended as legal or investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security or strategy. The investment strategy and themes discussed herein may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation. Information obtained from third-party sources is believed to be reliable, though its accuracy is not guaranteed, and J. Martin Wealth Management makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information, which should not be used as the basis of any investment decision. Information contained on third-party websites that J. Martin Wealth Management may link to are not reviewed in their entirety for accuracy, and J. Martin Wealth Management assumes no liability for the information contained on these websites. Opinions expressed in this commentary reflect subjective judgments of the author based on conditions at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form or referred to in any other publication without express written permission from J. Martin Wealth Management. For more information about J. Martin Wealth Management, including our Form ADV brochures, please visit https://adviserinfo.sec.gov or contact us at 480-630-6177.
