Howard Capital Management Reviews - Wealth Watch & Global Weekly Summary

Tailored Investment Solutions from Howard Capital Management and J. Martin Wealth

Located in Roswell, Georgia, Howard Capital Management (HCM) is an SEC-Registered Investment Advisor Firm. They aim to deliver professional money management solutions to individuals seeking growth while maintaining a prudent investment approach. The firm offers the use of the HCM-BuyLine®, developed by Vance Howard, CEO and Portfolio Manager at Howard Capital Management Inc., which has been their cornerstone since 1996. This stop-loss safeguard is crafted to provide timely guidance during market volatility. The HCM-BuyLine® effectively reduces downside risk by moving from equities to cash and cash equivalents while actively identifying opportunities to boost equity exposure during a market upswing.

J. Martin Wealth, based in Arizona, provides fiduciary financial advice tailored to help you meet your financial goals. Led by Jeff Martin, our team focuses on personalized investment strategies that align with your risk tolerance, time horizon, and unique objectives. Whether planning for retirement, managing your investments, or seeking comprehensive financial guidance, we are here to provide solutions that put your best interests first. Serving clients in Gilbert, Chandler, Maricopa, and throughout Arizona, we are committed to delivering transparent, client-centered service.

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Howard Capital - Global Weekly Summary

Markets remain cautious as the Middle East heats up

June 23, 2025

  • Posted By : Editorial Team

The Iran-Israel conflict continued this week with both countries launching attacks on each other. President Trump resolved to take a stance on the U.S. interceding in the conflict within two weeks, even as he warned the residents of Tehran to leave the city. Iran’s Parliament approved the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz which would drastically impact the global energy trade, while Iran was in the process of transporting oil stocks out of Tehran. Major central banks across the world chose to keep their policy rates unchanged this week citing global uncertainties and inflation risks. President Trump left the G7 summit in Canada early, citing the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict. Canada increased pressure on President Trump to arrive at a trade deal. On the sidelines of the G7 summit, Canada and India agreed to renew the diplomatic relations between the two countries. President Trump’s crackdown on illegal immigration at workplaces has increased economic stress for American businesses.

Global Updates

  • The MSCI All Country World Index was lower this week due to the escalating Iran-Israel conflict.
  • In the United Kingdom consumer confidence rose by 2 points in June, indicating greater optimism of consumers in the economy. This marked the third consecutive month of gains in confidence and the highest confidence levels since December 2024.
  • Canada’s Prime Minister Carney has suggested higher counter-tariffs on steel and aluminum from the U.S. if the two countries are unable to arrive at a trade deal in 30 days.
  • The Bank of England kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25%, citing rising global uncertainty and inflation risks.
  • Japan’s core inflation rose to 3.7% in May, the highest in more than two years. This may force the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates despite the economic uncertainty from U.S. tariffs.
  • The People’s Bank of China kept its key lending rates unchanged in line with market expectations due to rising retail sales and the country’s economic growth continuing to be on track to its growth targets.
  • China’s retail sales growth rate of 6.4% in May, driven by the “618” ecommerce event for consumer goods, was the fastest in 18 months. However, China’s growth in industrial production and fixed-asset investments slowed down to 5.8% and 3.7% respectively in the same period.
  • China’s exports of rare earth minerals fell by 53% to a five-year low in May due. China had placed export restrictions citing concerns for its national security and supply chain stability.
  • Global oil prices touched a five-month high this week due to fears of global supply bottlenecks due to the escalation in the Iran-Israel conflict.

U.S. Equity

  • The S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq were weighed down by the escalating tensions in the middle east and the uncertainty regarding rate cuts by the fed. However, the redeployment of U.S. military assets to the Middle East has indicated a greater likelihood of U.S. involvement in the conflict.
  • On the economic front the U.S. industrial production slowed down by 0.20% in May, declining for the second time in the second quarter, due to cooling in demand. The NAHB housing market index which measures homebuilder sentiment also dropped to the lowest in 30 months, weighed down by the higher mortgage rates and economic uncertainty.
  • President Trump’s use of workplace raids to reign in illegal immigration has triggered workplace avoidance by workers in New York, Colorado, Texas and California leading to stress on businesses and farms.
  • The Fed chose to hold interest rates steady this week. Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated the importance of Fed’s data driven approach to its interest rate policy. However, Fed Governor Christopher Waller anticipated an earlier rate cut, as early as July. He downplayed the inflation risk from tariffs and prioritized tackling unemployment and the economic slowdown by lowering the borrowing costs.
  • Chip stocks declined this week due to the possible change in U.S. policy permitting use of American technology by Multinational semiconductor companies in their manufacturing units in China. The policy change to limit China’s access to advanced technologies affected the stock prices of Broadcom, TSMC, Nvidia and other companies.
  • J.P. Morgan announced its plans to launch a stablecoin which will only be available to its institutional clients. J.P. Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon initially expressed significant skepticism about the long-term viability of cryptocurrencies.
  • The Trump administration has extended ByteDance’s deadline for selling its U.S. division of TikTok by 90 days.

Fixed Income

  • The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index dipped slightly this week.
  • The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.375% and the yield on the 2-year note also lagged to 3.908% over the week.
  • The U.S. Dollar Index rose slightly to 98.71 this week due to safe haven demand for the currency.

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Wealth Watch: From the desk of Vance Howard

Beyond “Uncertainty”: Our Plan for a Predictable Uptrend

Posted By: Vance Howard - June 23, 2025

USO Oil Fund Price Chart June 2025

Last week we predicted that the unrest in Iran causing any selloff would be short-lived and any pullback would be buyable, and that seems to be playing out just like we expected. The market is in a solid uptrend, and all pullbacks should be considered buyable until the trend changes. Reduce exposure to oil, as it is now overbought with the turmoil in Iran and should revert back to $60 a barrel if/or after the tension subsides.

S&P 500 Index Chart June 2025

One word that has been overused is “uncertainty”. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has worn that word out. Every time he gets in front of the podium, the key takeaway is that everything is “uncertain”. Well, here is some enlightening news, everything is uncertain. The stock market is uncertain, the economy is uncertain, and when we die is uncertain. If he is truly data dependent, then he should start to drop rates.

But the Fed will be late. We don’t expect the Fed to make any policy changes before Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, presumably on August 22, and the conclusion of the Fed’s longer-run policy review. That puts September as a potential opportunity for a rate cut. The Fed will also need to see additional signs of labor market weakness before cutting rates. That means that the FOMC will be late in reacting to the data. We continue to have a fed funds terminal range of 3.50% to 3.75%.

U.S. economic indicators are slowing down. The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) edged down 0.1% in May, in line with expectations, following a downwardly revised -1.4% in the previous month. The rebound in stock prices from the low in April was the biggest positive contributor to the LEI last month. But that was overwhelmed by relatively large negative contributions from consumer confidence and manufacturing new orders.

The LEI peaked in December 2021 and is now at its lowest level in over a decade. The six-month annualized rate of change worsened to -5.3%, the steepest decline since early 2024. Although this is historically consistent with falling economic activity, the Conference Board does not expect a recession this year.

The HCM-BuyLine® Explained

Curious how the HCM-BuyLine® works—and whether it fits your investment strategy?

The HCM-BuyLine® is a proprietary, rules-based investment tool designed to help manage portfolio risk by using market momentum indicators. Instead of relying on emotional decision-making, the BuyLine® uses quantitative data to signal when to reduce equity exposure and when to re-enter the market. This can help protect capital during major downturns and participate in uptrends when conditions improve.

For investors seeking an alternative to traditional buy-and-hold strategies, the HCM-BuyLine® offers a more dynamic, tactical investment approach. Its methodology may be especially valuable during periods of volatility or economic uncertainty.

Have you seen this kind of strategy from your current financial advisor? Are you looking for an investment philosophy that adapts to changing market conditions?

At J. Martin Wealth, we believe in aligning your financial plan with tools that are built to adapt. The HCM-BuyLine® is one example of how data-driven investing can support long-term goals while managing downside risk.

The HCM-BuyLine® is a proprietary indicator and does not guarantee investment results or prevent losses. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.

Ready to Learn More?

Schedule a complimentary consultation to explore how the HCM-BuyLine® and other tactical strategies may fit into your overall investment plan.

Vance Howard CEO Howard Capital Management

Who is Vance Howard?

Vance Howard embarked on his professional career in the financial industry in 1992, establishing Chartered Financial Services, Inc. He subsequently founded Howard Capital Management, Inc. in 1999, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor. Mr. Howard brings expertise in the analysis, creation, and execution of diverse trading strategies.

Prior to his focus on financial services, Mr. Howard founded Delta Waste Services in 1988, a waste management company he later sold in 1992. Additionally, he co-published investment-focused newsletters, "The Savvy Investor" and the "SI Intermediate-term Trader", which garnered an international readership across over 25 countries between 1992-1999.

Demonstrating a commitment to community, Vance has served on the Huntsville, Texas city council for four terms, including two terms as mayor pro tem. His civic involvement extends to roles such as Huntsville's City Finance Chairman, Chairman of the Huntsville/Walker County 911 Emergency Service, and board positions on the Houston/Galveston Economic Development Council and the District 910 Legal Grievance Committee. He is a former President and active member of the Huntsville Rotary Club.

Outside of the professional sphere, Vance collaborates with family members in the operation of the Bar C Ranch in Madisonville, Texas, where they specialize in raising registered longhorn cattle. His leisure interests include travel with his wife and children, cycling, kayaking, scuba diving, and hiking.

“We aim to take emotion completely out of the equation. Trading with emotions, in our opinion, ruins long-term returns.”

— VANCE HOWARD, CEO + PORTFOLIO MANAGER

Howard Capital Management, Inc, issues this communication. It is for informational purposes and is not an official confirmation of terms. It is not guaranteed as to the accuracy, nor is it a complete statement of the financial products or markets referred to. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Howard Capital Management, Inc. may maintain long or short positions in the financial instruments referred to and transact as principal or agent. Unless explicitly stated otherwise, this is not a recommendation, offer, or solicitation to buy or sell, and any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. To the extent permitted by law, Howard Capital Management, Inc. does not accept any liability arising from using this communication. Howard Capital Management is an SEC-registered investment advisor that only does business where it is properly registered or is otherwise exempt from registration. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor indicates that the advisor has attained a particular skill or ability. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

This newsletter is a publication of Howard Capital Management, Inc. It should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed, nor should the newsletter be construed as personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion reflect the author's judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change. It should not be viewed as legal or tax advice. Always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your legal or tax situation. There can be no guarantee that the HCM-BuyLine® indicator will perform as anticipated. Stoploss protection will not necessarily limit your losses to the desired amounts due to the limitations of the HCM-BuyLine®, market conditions, and delays in executing orders. It is not an actual stop-loss order that automatically sells securities in the portfolio at a certain price.