Howard Capital Management & HCM BuyLine® Strategies for Arizona Retirees
Tailored Investment Solutions from Howard Capital Management and J. Martin Wealth
Located in Roswell, Georgia, Howard Capital Management (HCM) is an SEC-Registered Investment Advisor Firm. They aim to deliver professional money management solutions to individuals seeking growth while maintaining a prudent investment approach. The firm offers the use of the HCM-BuyLine®, developed by Vance Howard, CEO and Portfolio Manager at Howard Capital Management Inc., which has been their cornerstone since 1996. This stop-loss safeguard is crafted to provide timely guidance during market volatility. The HCM-BuyLine® effectively reduces downside risk by moving from equities to cash and cash equivalents while actively identifying opportunities to boost equity exposure during a market upswing.
J. Martin Wealth, based in Arizona, provides fiduciary financial advice tailored to help you meet your financial goals. Led by Jeff Martin, our team focuses on personalized investment strategies that align with your risk tolerance, time horizon, and unique objectives. Whether planning for retirement, managing your investments, or seeking comprehensive financial guidance, we are here to provide solutions that put your best interests first. Serving clients in Gilbert, Chandler, Maricopa, and throughout Arizona, we are committed to delivering transparent, client-centered service.
At J. Martin Wealth Management, serving retirees across Gilbert, Chandler, Gold Canyon and Maricopa, we share these weekly insights to help you understand market movements and how they may impact your retirement plan.
The following commentary was authored by Vance Howard, CEO of Howard Capital Management, Inc., as of the date noted. It reflects his personal views and does not represent the views or recommendations of J. Martin Wealth Management or Wealth Watch Advisors. References to specific index levels reflect HCM’s internal strategy and are not personalized investment advice for any reader of this page. Past performance of the HCM Buy-Line® is not indicative of future results.
Howard Capital - Global Weekly Summary
Market Volatility Returns: Fed Hawkishness and Geopolitical Friction Cloud Outlook
June 22, 2026
- Posted By: Editorial team
Weekly Market Movers — Key Highlights
- Hawkish pivot drives largest front-end yield move in years
- U.S.–Iran developments trigger oil and equity volatility
- Semiconductor and IT services face institutional selling pressure
- SpaceX, quantum computing fuel innovation-led rallies
- Fox–Roku deal signals media sector consolidation.
Global equity markets declined over the week, amid heightened volatility. Investor sentiment initially received a significant boost from an interim U.S.-Iran peace deal framework to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which sparked strong rallies across Asian indices like Japan’s Nikkei and South Korea’s KOSPI. However, a hawkish mid-week statement from the U.S. Federal Reserve, which effectively removed the projected rate cut later in the year, triggered global rate-repricing concerns. This tighter monetary policy outlook, coupled with a late-week macro software guidance cut from Accenture, induced localized sector profit-taking. European indices finished mixed, and emerging markets faced a late Friday risk-off slide. Broader technology and semiconductor equities experienced institutional selling pressure, driven by indications of slowing global IT consulting activity and weaker demand visibility.
In global geopolitics, during the G7 summit in France, President Donald Trump signed an accord with Iranian President Pezeshkian to end the multi-month war, yet his warnings of potential renewed military action if final terms fail sparked market anxiety. This shifting geopolitical rhetoric caused Crude Oil prices to whipsaw, tumbling initially by over 3% as the Strait of Hormuz reopened before rebounding slightly as subsequent headlines injected a renewed risk premium into energy equities. Global market sentiment suffered a sharp reversal when U.S. negotiators unexpectedly called off peace talks in Switzerland and conflict escalated in Lebanon. Doubts cast over the durability of the ceasefire prompted a late-week rebound in Brent crude oil toward $80 a barrel, erasing some of the week’s earlier energy sector relief
Global Updates
- The MSCI All Country World Index declined as rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions, central bank tightening signals, and persistent inflation concerns dampened risk sentiment and triggered profit-taking.
- The European Central Bank raised rates by 25 bps at its June 2026 meeting, first since 2023, citing energy-driven inflation risks and Middle East tensions, reaffirming the target.
- The Bank of Japan raised its key rate by 25bps to 1.0% in June, its highest since 1995, aiming to curb Iran war-driven inflation risks.
- The Bank of England held its Bank Rate at 3.75% in June 2026 by a 7-2 vote, balancing easing inflation with uncertainty from volatile energy markets.
- Accenture reported Q3 FY26 results, with 6% revenue growth and 9% YoY EPS increase, reaffirming full-year guidance backed by strong AI-driven demand.
- LBG Media announced that it has acquired a 75% stake in Gen‑Z agency Uncovered for approximately £26.8mn, strengthening its social-first content strategy.
- Charger Metals announced that it has signed an agreement to divest the Bynoe Lithium Project to Core Lithium for up to A$14.75mn, streamlining its asset portfolio.
- Reliance Jio Platforms, has filed for a Mumbai IPO to raise about $3.8 billion, potentially marking India’s largest-ever public listing.
- Cosmo Energy said it will continue focusing on crude procurement and upstream investments in the Middle East despite the Iran war, citing cost advantages and refinery suitability.
- Planned U.S.-Iran talks in Switzerland were cancelled on Friday after fighting escalated in Lebanon, adding uncertainty to negotiations on a broader peace deal, as the flare-up could hinder progress.
- Iran’s Strait of Hormuz authority said Friday it will waive planned transit fees during a 60-day negotiation period under the memorandum of understanding signed with the United States this week.
U.S. Equity
- The major U.S. equity benchmark indices closed lower this week, following indications of peace in the middle-east, despite a more hawkish Federal Reserve tone and a sharp move higher in front-end Treasury yields. Equity sentiment was further tempered by rotation out of technology and semiconductor stocks and episodic geopolitical volatility, Rising Treasury yields and higher-for-longer interest rate expectations triggered a rotation out of semiconductor and technology stocks, which weighed on major indices mid-week, highlighting sensitivity of high-duration equities to rate repricing. On the other hand, domestic quantum computing stocks rose following an upbeat institutional outlook and sector upgrades. Geopolitical developments at the G7 summit drove energy market volatility, as the announcement of a U.S.–Iran accord initially eased tensions and pressured crude prices lower, while subsequent warnings of potential renewed military action reinstated risk premia, triggering a rebound in oil and energy equities.
- Initial jobless claims declined by 4,000 to 226,000 for the week ending June 13, signaling continued labor market resilience with layoffs remaining at historically low levels.
- The U.S. Federal Reserve held policy rates steady at 3.5%–3.75% this week, while signaling a more hawkish bias under new Chair Kevin Warsh, removing prior easing guidance and driving a sharp rise in front‑end Treasury yields. Following this the Short-end bond yields surged while long-term rates flattened. Two‑year Treasury yields recorded their largest Fed‑day increase since 2008, reflecting repricing of rate expectations and tightening financial conditions across equities.
- Manufacturing data indicated continued expansion, with ISM and flash PMI rising to 55.3—marking a fifth consecutive month in expansionary territory—while Federal Reserve data showed industrial production increasing modestly by 0.1% in May (following a 0.9% gain in April), as manufacturing output remained flat sequentially but was up 1.4% year over year.
- SpaceX shares rallied following its blockbuster IPO, briefly surpassing major mega-cap peers in market capitalization and intensifying momentum-driven flows within large-cap growth. SpaceX announced a $60 billion acquisition of the AI startup Cursor’s parent, signaling a strategic convergence of aerospace and artificial intelligence.
- U.S. Congress advanced housing legislation this week, aimed at limiting institutional purchases of single-family homes. The legislation is likely to introduce regulatory risk for real estate–linked equities and private capital participation.
- Fox Corporation announced a $22 billion agreement to acquire Roku, signaling strategic consolidation and increasing vertical integration between content providers and distribution platforms.
- U.S.-listed quantum computing stocks rallied sharply following positive institutional commentary and sector upgrades that highlighted accelerating commercial adoption potential. The move reflected renewed investor interest in emerging deep‑tech themes, driving momentum flows into early-stage, innovation-led equities.
- Wells Fargo raised its year-end S&P 500 price target to 7,950 from 7,300. The bank also revised its 2026 EPS estimate to $340 from $315, citing the U.S.–Iran deal, AI capex momentum from hyperscalers, and reset sentiment.
Fixed Income
- The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index declined over the week.
- The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield edged lower to 4.455% and the yield on the 2-year note rose sharply to 4.179% over the week, following a highly hawkish pivot from the Federal Reserve under new Chairman Kevin Warsh.
- The U.S. Dollar Index rose sharply to 100.8 over the week rose sharply to 100.8 (reaching its highest intraday level in over a year) due to an aggressive, hawkish pivot by the Federal Reserve which reshaped global interest rate expectations
Chart data below reflects market conditions as of the date shown. It is provided for illustrative purposes in connection with the commentary above and does not represent current market conditions. It should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.
Wealth Watch: From the desk of Vance Howard
Move Over Tech! Is the Rest of the Market Finally Waking Up?
Posted By: Vance Howard - June 17, 2026
Markets moved higher last Thursday off the news from President Trump that the conflict in Iran was nearing an end. The rally continues to broaden, as Equal-weight Industrials and Utilities break out and should help Financials and Discretionary show some good participation over the next 1-2 months.
As of this writing, the text of the deal has not been released, and a full re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz will likely take weeks. Nevertheless, the markets took the news as a significant step. On Monday, the S&P 500 jumped 1.7%, and WTI futures plunged 4.2%.
At the beginning of the conflict, most commodity strategists predicted oil prices would have been much higher if the Strait had remained closed for 3.5 months. WTI futures’ 15% drop from its May 15 high to June 12 reflects expectations of an eventual re-opening, as well as the global supply chain being more flexible than anticipated.
Even after the June 12 drop, WTI futures are 16% above where they closed on February 27. More confidence in a lasting peace could turn the six-month momentum negative later this summer, when the S&P 500 has risen at an 18.5% annual rate, on average.
Energy prices have been the main culprit for our headline inflation indicator turning bearish in April. A reversal could push the CPI below its six-month average, re-establishing the disinflation that has defined the cyclical bull market that started in late 2022.
Three stocks we are monitoring are Quanta Services (PWR), which we believe is starting to break out of a flag pattern, Cummins Inc. (CMI), which also looks like it is ready to move higher with lots of demand for Cummins engines as data center construction is mounting, and Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT).
The HCM-BuyLine® Explained
Curious how the HCM-BuyLine® works—and whether it fits your investment strategy?
The HCM-BuyLine® is a proprietary, rules-based investment tool designed to help manage portfolio risk by using market momentum indicators. Instead of relying on emotional decision-making, the BuyLine® uses quantitative data to signal when to reduce equity exposure and when to re-enter the market. This can help protect capital during major downturns and participate in uptrends when conditions improve.
For investors seeking an alternative to traditional buy-and-hold strategies, the HCM-BuyLine® offers a more dynamic, tactical investment approach. Its methodology may be especially valuable during periods of volatility or economic uncertainty.
Have you seen this kind of strategy from your current financial advisor? Are you looking for an investment philosophy that adapts to changing market conditions?
At J. Martin Wealth, we believe in aligning your financial plan with tools that are built to adapt. The HCM-BuyLine® is one example of how data-driven investing can support long-term goals while managing downside risk.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the HCM-BuyLine and how does it work?
A: The HCM-BuyLine® is a systematic, rules-based investment indicator developed by Vance Howard at Howard Capital Management. It uses quantitative market data to signal when to reduce equity exposure during downturns and when to increase exposure during uptrends. Rather than relying on emotion or guesswork, the BuyLine® follows predetermined criteria to help manage portfolio risk. Think of it as a disciplined framework for deciding when to be more defensive (holding cash) or more aggressive (holding stocks) based on current market conditions. It's designed to help protect capital during major market declines while participating in growth when conditions improve.
Q: Is tactical investing right for retirees?
A: Tactical investing strategies can be suitable for certain retirees, particularly those concerned about sequence-of-risk—the danger of large losses early in retirement. For retirees who are drawing income from their portfolio, avoiding major market downturns can be especially valuable since you don't have decades to recover. However, tactical strategies are not right for everyone. They involve more active management than traditional buy-and-hold approaches, and past performance does not guarantee future results. The best fit depends on your individual risk tolerance, time horizon, income needs, and overall financial plan. We recommend discussing tactical strategies with a fiduciary advisor who can evaluate whether they align with your specific retirement goals.
Q: How is this different from what most financial advisors in Chandler or Gilbert offer?
A: J. Martin Wealth Management offers tactical strategies, such as those available through Howard Capital Management, as one option among several. Whether a tactical or more passive approach is appropriate depends on an individual client’s goals, risk tolerance, time horizon, and financial circumstances. We recommend discussing any strategy with a fiduciary adviser to evaluate suitability. The HCM-BuyLine® approach is tactical, meaning it attempts to reduce equity exposure during unfavorable market conditions and increase exposure when conditions improve. This doesn't make one approach "better" than the other—they serve different objectives. Buy-and-hold is simpler and works well over very long time horizons. Tactical strategies like HCM aim to reduce volatility and manage downside risk, which can be especially important for retirees who can't afford to wait years for a portfolio to recover. At J. Martin Wealth Management, we believe in matching the strategy to the client, not forcing every client into the same approach.
Q: Does the HCM-BuyLine® guarantee that I won't lose money in a downturn?
A: No. The HCM-BuyLine® is an investment tool designed to help manage risk, but it does not eliminate risk or guarantee results. All investing involves the potential for loss, including loss of principal. Tactical strategies attempt to reduce exposure during declines, but market conditions can change rapidly, and there may be delays in executing portfolio adjustments. Additionally, moving to cash during downturns means you might miss some recovery gains if the market rebounds quickly. There are trade-offs with any investment approach. The HCM-BuyLine® has been used since 1996, but past performance is not indicative of future results. It's a tool, not a guarantee, and should be evaluated as part of a comprehensive financial plan.
Q: Can I invest with Howard Capital Management directly, or do I need to work through J. Martin Wealth Management?
A: Howard Capital Management is an institutional investment manager based in Roswell, Georgia, and they primarily work with financial advisors rather than directly with individual investors. At J. Martin Wealth Management, we have access to Howard Capital Management strategies as one of several investment approaches we can incorporate into client portfolios. We serve as your fiduciary advisor, building a comprehensive financial plan tailored to your situation, and when appropriate, we may recommend tactical strategies like those offered by Howard Capital Management. Working with us means you get personalized advice, local service in Chandler and Gilbert, and a financial plan that goes beyond just investment management—including retirement income planning, Social Security optimization, tax strategy, and more.
Q: I'm retiring soon in Gilbert—should I be worried about this market volatility?
A: Market volatility in the years immediately before and after retirement is something to take seriously, but worry isn't productive—having a plan is. This period is when you're most vulnerable to sequence-of-returns risk, meaning poor market performance early in retirement can significantly impact your long-term financial security. If you're within 2-3 years of retirement and haven't stress-tested your plan against market downturns, now is the time to do so. Consider questions like: Is your asset allocation appropriate for your timeline? Do you have enough cash reserves to avoid selling stocks in a down market? Are you maximizing Social Security timing? Do you have a tax-efficient withdrawal strategy? These are the conversations we have every day with pre-retirees in Gilbert, Chandler, and across the East Valley. If you'd like a second opinion on your retirement readiness, we offer complimentary consultations to review your situation and discuss whether your current plan accounts for market risk.
Still Have Questions?
Market volatility and investment strategies can be complex. If you'd like to discuss how tactical investing or other risk management approaches might fit into your retirement plan, we're here to help.
Schedule a complimentary consultation with J. Martin Wealth Management:
Serving Chandler, Gilbert, Maricopa, and Gold Canyon.
Disclosure: This FAQ is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The HCM-BuyLine® is a proprietary indicator and does not guarantee investment results. All investing involves risk, including potential loss of principal. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor to discuss your specific situation.
The HCM-BuyLine® is a proprietary indicator and does not guarantee investment results or prevent losses. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.
Ready to Learn More?
Schedule a complimentary consultation to explore how the HCM-BuyLine® and other tactical strategies may fit into your overall investment plan.
Who is Vance Howard?
Vance Howard embarked on his professional career in the financial industry in 1992, establishing Chartered Financial Services, Inc. He subsequently founded Howard Capital Management, Inc. in 1999, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor. Mr. Howard brings expertise in the analysis, creation, and execution of diverse trading strategies.
Prior to his focus on financial services, Mr. Howard founded Delta Waste Services in 1988, a waste management company he later sold in 1992. Additionally, he co-published investment-focused newsletters, "The Savvy Investor" and the "SI Intermediate-term Trader", which garnered an international readership across over 25 countries between 1992-1999.
Demonstrating a commitment to community, Vance has served on the Huntsville, Texas city council for four terms, including two terms as mayor pro tem. His civic involvement extends to roles such as Huntsville's City Finance Chairman, Chairman of the Huntsville/Walker County 911 Emergency Service, and board positions on the Houston/Galveston Economic Development Council and the District 910 Legal Grievance Committee. He is a former President and active member of the Huntsville Rotary Club.
Outside of the professional sphere, Vance collaborates with family members in the operation of the Bar C Ranch in Madisonville, Texas, where they specialize in raising registered longhorn cattle. His leisure interests include travel with his wife and children, cycling, kayaking, scuba diving, and hiking.
“We aim to take emotion completely out of the equation. Trading with emotions, in our opinion, ruins long-term returns.”
— VANCE HOWARD, CEO + PORTFOLIO MANAGER
Disclosure:
Howard Capital Management, Inc issues this communication. It is for informational purposes and is not an official confirmation of terms. It is not guaranteed as to the accuracy, nor is it a complete statement of the financial products or markets referred to. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Howard Capital Management, Inc. may maintain long or short positions in the financial instruments referred to and transact as principal or agent. Unless explicitly stated otherwise, this is not a recommendation, offer, or solicitation to buy or sell, and any prices or quotations contained herein are indicative only. To the extent permitted by law, Howard Capital Management, Inc. does not accept any liability arising from using this communication. Howard Capital Management is an SEC-registered investment advisor that only does business where it is properly registered or is otherwise exempt from registration. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission nor indicates that the advisor has attained a particular skill or ability. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
This newsletter is a publication of Howard Capital Management, Inc. It should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed, nor should the newsletter be construed as personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion reflect the author's judgment as of the publication date and are subject to change. It should not be viewed as legal or tax advice. Always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your legal or tax situation. There can be no guarantee that the HCM-BuyLine® indicator will perform as anticipated. Stop-loss protection will not necessarily limit your losses to the desired amounts due to the limitations of the HCM-BuyLine®, market conditions, and delays in executing orders. It is not an actual stop-loss order that automatically sells securities in the portfolio at a certain price.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. The material above has been provided for informational purposes only and is not intended as legal or investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security or strategy. The investment strategy and themes discussed herein may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial situation. Information obtained from third-party sources is believed to be reliable, though its accuracy is not guaranteed, and J. Martin Wealth Management makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information, which should not be used as the basis of any investment decision. Information contained on third-party websites that J. Martin Wealth Management may link to are not reviewed in their entirety for accuracy, and J. Martin Wealth Management assumes no liability for the information contained on these websites. Opinions expressed in this commentary reflect subjective judgments of the author based on conditions at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form or referred to in any other publication without express written permission from J. Martin Wealth Management. For more information about J. Martin Wealth Management, including our Form ADV brochures, please visit https://adviserinfo.sec.gov or contact us at 480-630-6177.
